All Eyes on Nigeria: Presidential election likely to result in stalemate inimical to plans for improved security

By Think Security Africa (TSA)

ABUJA, Nigeria, March 18, 2015/African Press Organization (APO)/ -- Following Think Security Africa's (TSA) (http://www.thinksecurityafrica.org) report on security in Nigeria (http://thinksecurityafrica.org/research/national-security-in-nigeria) with record downloads and social shares*, their latest report on Nigeria's 2015 presidential elections All Eyes on Nigeria (http://thinksecurityafrica.org/research/nigerias-2015-presidential-elections), provides in-depth insight into the candidates, the politics, stakes, and likely outcome of Nigeria's 2015 elections.

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The entire project comprises of three components: a short film, presentation and report. The short film showcases the social and political tensions in Nigeria that have been building up since 2011, and draws on Nigeria's most famous political crisis: June 12th, and the response of Chief Moshood Abiola, to remind all concerned stakeholders that disaster is not a foregone conclusion for Nigeria.

'Nigeria is clearly at one of the most critical junctures in its history – these elections mean everything, but in reality more death and more destruction is a choice. There are people with the power to take Nigeria down a more peaceful road,' says Adunola Abiola founder of Think Security Africa.

The report uses graphs, charts, maps and statistical data to deepen understanding of the issues, factors, and challenges that will drive electoral outcomes, whilst simultaneously drawing lessons from Nigeria's 2011 post-election violence. The full version of the report provides a detailed assessment of the stakes involved in these elections. Nigeria has six main stability challenges to overcome, many of which have broader humanitarian, regional and international implications. This makes the conduct and outcome of these elections a vital security concern for a range of stakeholders. Its main conclusion is that a free and fair poll will likely result in a stalemate, this would in fact be the most dangerous outcome, as it would take Nigeria into unchartered waters, at a time that Nigeria most needs focused and effective leadership.

View the entire project at: http://thinksecurityafrica.org/research/nigerias-2015-presidential-elections

*Record yet to be confirmed

Distributed by APO (African Press Organization) on behalf of Think Security Africa (TSA).

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Think Security Africa (TSA) (http://www.thinksecurityafrica.org) is an independent think tank specializing in security in Africa. Since its establishment in 2009, TSA has become a leader in forecasting security-related trends in Africa – with a view to preserving lives and development ecosystems.

TSA's resources are used by governments, inter-governmental organizations, journalists and business to assist with their Africa-focused missions.

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