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Why Goodluck Saw Bad Luck: 5-Reasons Why Jonathan Lost


Nigerians are so used to the idea that an incumbent should win presidential elections that President Goodluck Jonathan's failure to beat Gen Muhammadu Buhari needs some explaining. Here are five reasons why the opposition won:

1: Harder To Rig

Past elections have been marred by serious irregularities and suspicions of rigging. In 2007 observers said the presidential poll was not “credible”. In 2011 the vote was considered to be better run but observers said that rigging and fraud still took place.

This time the electoral commission took more steps to prevent rigging, including new biometric voters cards.

Also President Jonathan's party, the People's Democratic Party (PDP), had lost control of some key states which meant it could not control the electoral process there.

2: Boko Haram And security

The election took place against the background of an Islamist insurgency in the north-east of the country. The Boko Haram militant group has killed 20,000 people and forced some three million others from their homes and President Jonathan was criticised for not getting to grips with this.

The poll was delayed for six weeks to give time for the security situation to improve, but even though most areas controlled by Boko Haram were recaptured, it seems to have come too late for many people.

3: United Opposition, Crumbling PDP

The PDP has been described as an election-winning machine. When it was created it united a northern elite with leading politicians from the south, but that alliance has broken up and the party lost some key figures. Even the former president, Olusegun Obasanjo, distanced himself from President Jonathan.

At the same time, the opposition managed to unite under the All Progressives Congress (APC) banner. The last six weeks of desperate and dirty campaigning, in which the APC responded in kind, was not enough to turn the tide.

4: Economy

Nigeria is Africa's biggest oil producer and its largest economy, but many fail to feel the benefits with nearly half the population living below the poverty line. Continued corruption is seen as partly being to blame.

National income is due to grow by more than 5% this year and next year, but people did not seem in the mood to thank Mr Jonathan for this.

5: Time For A Change:

APC supporters chanted “change” wherever they went and it seems to have caught the mood. The PDP has been in power since the end of military rule in 1999, and 2015 is the year that Nigerians decided that someone else should have a go at sorting things out.

President-elect Buahari now has to prove he can really change things.

Your Comment

pumping | 3/31/2015 9:36:00 PM
this is the time for chang jonatan go an carry your load the time is end we need niageria chang / the risurt not cliare
racheal | 3/31/2015 11:11:00 PM
mr president god bless u u have really tried making nigeria great
innocent legends | 4/1/2015 12:39:00 AM
mr president,we are especting u soon..bless u ge gentle pol. gentle man in politics....time will clear ur eyes of what u should hav done for u after all.
Mitchel | 4/1/2015 3:30:00 AM
Mr president God bless u,we know u mean well for this country but your Party failed Nigerians however we wish u well hoping this Change will be positive and not vengeance.God bless Nigeria
victorclaud | 4/1/2015 5:37:00 AM
mr president u said ur is gudlu k but u brought badluck 2 nigeria shame2 u mr president pack ur load nd go wit illiterate wif chai dere is god oooo',na only u waka cum laughing
peee | 4/1/2015 2:51:00 PM
u must be a f**l to talk to a gentle and humble president like this .More over he is your elder in age and the addage says you should respect elders so u too can grow to become an elder . so be careful how u insult the president or else the wrath of God will fall upon u.
Henry | 4/1/2015 10:58:00 AM
Let d president bring d change he has. Promise
oscar p | 4/1/2015 2:30:00 PM
my president i can see that the ageint of has arrived so u dont have to border any more because i belive that the trasformation has just beging,sorry to say this u used the previlage giving to u whent and established at north now they have volted u out and u espect the south west to volte u in my brother u most be a leaner or a comadian thanks great lesson to all nigeral.
Stella praised God | 4/2/2015 10:06:00 PM
Hahahahahaha na wa people rely dont like the papa goodluke no problem change now good Nigeria
elegam face | 4/3/2015 12:32:00 AM
mr gonaa is not me that called u the name but ur love. Remember dere is God ooo and also dere is time 4 change. If they ask me to surgest on what to do to u, i will say u should pay all our money u spent jabouresly(unwisely) and go 4 jail of ur age . Gonaa Dere is Godooo
igbo.c | 4/4/2015 3:17:00 PM
Mr and mrs u people try much for my I will say there's no president like you ,during the time of Ebola God use you and rescue Nigeria ,all over the world there's no president so only u
Eke obianuju | 4/4/2015 5:44:00 PM
Gudluk u try God bless u ohhh
sheidu Ademoh | 4/7/2015 11:21:00 PM
we need nigera to change now becose we are surffring, both weman an youth,no job opportunity. no good etc..nigera need change for good for better.i commend Goodluck jonathan.former president of the new president Gene muhammed buhari you are wellcome.
sheidu Ademoh | 4/7/2015 11:25:00 PM
we need nigera to change now becose we are surffring, both weman an youth,no job opportunity. no good etc..nigera need change for good for better.i commend Goodluck jonathan.former president of the new president Gene muhammed buhari the new president on are wellcome.
shafiu mohd tk | 4/8/2015 5:54:00 PM
Apc sak