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OIL PRICES RISE AS WINTER PEAKS IN EUROPE, NORTH AMERICA

By NBF News
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CRUDE oil prices traded close to a two-year high as cold weather boosts demand for heating fuels in Europe and North America and amid speculation the U.S. economic recovery will accelerate next year, increasing oil consumption.

Crude for January delivery gained 26 cents to $88.25 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 11:14 a.m. London time. The contract expires yesterday. The more actively traded February contract advanced 15 cents to $88.75 a barrel.

Brent crude for February was at $91.90 a barrel, up 23 cents, on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Temperatures in Europe and parts of the U.S. are colder than usual, boosting same-day PER CENT natural gas prices by as much as 14 per cent yesterday. Crude futures gained as much as 0.6 per cent as European equities traded higher.

'Renewed cold weather forecasts for Europe as well as colder than normal forecasts for the U.S. east coast is supportive for the oil market,' said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB AB, the Stockholm-based lender.

'Everyone is expecting a move up in the oil market,' Roland Stenzel, a crude-oil trader at E&T Energie Handelsgesellschaft mbH, said from Vienna. 'Technically it's looking strong, fundamentally it's looking strong.'

Oil, which surged 78 per cent in New York in 2009, is up 11 per cent this year amid speculation the global economic recovery will boost consumption. Prices rallied to $90.76 a barrel on December 7, the highest since October 2008.

Crude is likely to 'break out' toward $94 a barrel if prices hold above the $87 support level, according to Chart Partners Group Limited

Commodities including oil, gold and copper are showing bullish short-term trends going into January, even as they 'flirt' with an 'opposing, corrective cycle' in the longer term, said Thomas Schroeder, managing director at Chart Partners, a Bangkok-based technical research company.

The $87-a- barrel level is a pivot point and was the high for the year a few months ago, Schroeder said. Crude futures settled above $87 a barrel three times in November before rallying above $88 a barrel in December.

'It's popped above $87, it came back down and had a hard fall, went back above $87,' said Schroeder. 'As long as the $87 support holds, I think we'll have some more significant highs in January to deal with.'

U.S. crude stockpiles dropped the most since 2002 in the week to December 10, the U.S. Energy Department said last week. The inventory fell 9.85 million barrels to 346 million.

'Consumer demand becomes increasingly hard to measure through the holiday season and end-of-year tax considerations create noise in the DOE inventory reports,' Stephen Schork, president of The Schork Group Inc., a consultant in Villanova, Pennsylvania, said in a report. 'We expect low volume and high volatility due to the holidays.'

Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators reduced net-long positions in New York crude futures and options for the first time in three weeks, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Bets that prices will rise outnumbered short positions by 205,890 contracts in the week to December 14, the Washington-based regulator said December 17.

PER CENT natural gas rose as much as 14 per cent to 73.5 pence a therm after National Grid Plc forecast record demand yesterday. Gas for same-day delivery was at 69.5 pence as of 11:10 a.m. in London, according to broker data compiled by Bloomberg.